Minnesota Timberwolves @ Dallas Mavericks 8:30pm EST

Over 210.5 -110 (1u)

We head over to Dallas, where the Mavericks look to finish out a sweep agains the visiting Minnesota Timberwolves. We have stayed away from this series so far, but tonight we get a line that we feel has some good value. The Timberwolves are in desperation mode, as they look to avoid a sweep in the Western Conference Finals on the road. Simply put, they have not gotten the production out of their star players that they did in the first two rounds. Anthony Edwards is averaging 22 PPG this series on 39.2% shooting. However, Edwards has been putting up a high volume of shots, so we can expect regression to take over. The Mavericks' offensive capability has just been too much for the NBA's #1 rated Timberwolves defense. Kyrie Irving has averaged 27.7 PPG in this series, while Luka has scored 32.7 PPG.

Tonight, with their backs agains the wall, we feel that the Timberwolves will show up offensively and make some more shots than they have been. Regardless, this line has gone over in all three of the games so far this series, with totals of 223, 217 and 213. Each game has increased in scoring, and we like that to continue today. Look for the Mavericks to continue shooting lights out from 3, and for the Timberwolves to make a few more shots as this is a win or go home game for them.